1. Gastos (cálculos antiguos)

Gastos_casa %>% 
  dplyr::select(-Tiempo,-link) %>%
  dplyr::select(fecha, gasto, monto, gastador,obs) %>% tail(30) %>% 
  knitr::kable(format = "markdown", size=12)
fecha gasto monto gastador obs
29/8/2022 Netflix 8320 Tami NA
31/8/2022 Incoludido 21000 Tami NA
31/8/2022 Electricidad 89272 Andrés PAC ENEL 01686518
31/8/2022 Enceres 12000 Andrés Visita gasfiter
3/9/2022 Comida 59225 Andrés Lider
3/9/2022 Comida 21350 Andrés Laflordeloto.cl
5/9/2022 Comida 78035 Tami NA
7/9/2022 Enceres 15400 Andrés era del mes pasado pero igual
10/9/2022 Agua 10860 Andrés PAC AGUAS ANDIN 000000005687837
10/9/2022 basureros 20000 Andrés basureros
10/9/2022 Comida 41870 Andrés NA
12/9/2022 Comida 3020 Andrés Reste el costa rama
12/9/2022 Comida 20563 Andrés Laflordeloto.cl
12/9/2022 Enceres 57000 Andrés Arreglo wc+ visita
15/9/2022 Comida 38863 Tami NA
16/9/2022 Diosi 12136 Tami Pipeta antipulgas
19/9/2022 Comida 5070 Andrés NA
20/9/2022 Comida 62208 Tami NA
21/9/2022 VTR 17990 Andrés Entel con mercadopago
28/9/2022 Comida 79070 Tami NA
30/9/2022 Netflix 8402 Tami NA
30/9/2022 Comida 28000 Andrés Caramagnola
2/10/2022 Enceres 10000 Andrés Manguera
2/10/2022 Electricidad 48087 Andrés atrasado del mes anterior
4/10/2022 Comida 41760 Andrés NA
4/10/2022 Comida 12860 Andrés NA
8/10/2022 Brussels 25300 Tami NA
8/10/2022 Comida 25300 Tami NA
31/3/2019 Comida 9000 Andrés NA
8/9/2019 Comida 24588 Andrés Super Lider

#para ver las diferencias depués de la diosi
Gastos_casa %>%
    dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(fecha=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
    dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
    dplyr::group_by(gastador, fecha,.drop = F) %>% 
    dplyr::summarise(gasto_media=mean(monto,na.rm=T)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha>"2019-W26",1,0)) %>%
    #dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=lubridate::week(fecha)) %>%#después de  diosi. Junio 24, 2019 
    dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>% 
    assign("ts_gastos_casa_week_treat", ., envir = .GlobalEnv) 

gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Promedio de gasto por gastador", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat,ylim=c(0,75000), xlab="", ylab="")

par(mfrow=c(1,2)) 
gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Antes de Diosi", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat[ts_gastos_casa_week_treat$treat==0,], xlab="", ylab="", ylim=c(0,70000))

gplots::plotmeans(gasto_media ~ gastador_nombre, main="Después de Diosi", data=ts_gastos_casa_week_treat[ts_gastos_casa_week_treat$treat==1,], xlab="", ylab="",ylim=c(0,70000))

library(ggiraph)
library(scales)
#if( requireNamespace("dplyr", quietly = TRUE)){
gg <- Gastos_casa %>%
  dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
  dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
  dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=tsibble::yearweek(fecha)) %>%
  dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
  dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha_week>"2019 W26",1,0)) %>%
  dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>% 
#  dplyr::mutate(week=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "week"))))%>%
  #dplyr::mutate(fecha_week= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha_week, c("%Y-W%V"),exact=T)) %>% 
  dplyr::group_by(gastador_nombre, fecha_simp) %>%
  dplyr::summarise(monto_total=sum(monto)) %>%
  dplyr::mutate(tooltip= paste0(substr(gastador_nombre,1,1),"=",round(monto_total/1000,2))) %>%
  ggplot(aes(hover_css = "fill:none;")) +#, ) +
  #stat_summary(geom = "line", fun.y = median, size = 1, alpha=0.5, aes(color="blue")) +
  geom_line(aes(x = fecha_simp, y = monto_total, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre)),size=1,alpha=.5) +
                       ggiraph::geom_point_interactive(aes(x = fecha_simp, y = monto_total, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre),tooltip=tooltip),size = 1) +
  #geom_text(aes(x = fech_ing_qrt, y = perc_dup-0.05, label = paste0(n)), vjust = -1,hjust = 0, angle=45, size=3) +
 # guides(color = F)+
  sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
  geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
  labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Semanas y Meses", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi; Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") + ggtitle( "Figura 4. Gastos por Gastador") +
  scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) + 
  scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
  scale_x_yearweek(date_breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35), legend.position='bottom')+
     theme(
    panel.border = element_blank(), 
    panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
    panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), 
    axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
    )

#  x <- girafe(ggobj = gg)
#  x <- girafe_options(x = x,
#                      opts_hover(css = "stroke:red;fill:orange") )
#  if( interactive() ) print(x)

#}
tooltip_css <- "background-color:gray;color:white;font-style:italic;padding:10px;border-radius:10px 20px 10px 20px;"

#ggiraph(code = {print(gg)}, tooltip_extra_css = tooltip_css, tooltip_opacity = .75 )

x <- girafe(ggobj = gg)
x <- girafe_options(x,
  opts_zoom(min = 1, max = 3), opts_hover(css =tooltip_css))
x
plot<-Gastos_casa %>%
    dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
    dplyr::mutate(month=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "month"))))%>%
    dplyr::group_by(month)%>%
    dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto)/1000) %>%
      ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = month, y = gasto_total)) +
      geom_point()+
      geom_line(size=1) +
      sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
      geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
      geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-03-23"),linetype = "dashed", color="red") +
      labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses/Año", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi") + 
      ggtitle( "Figura. Suma de Gastos por Mes") +        
      scale_x_date(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 month", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
      theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 45)) 
plotly::ggplotly(plot)  
plot2<-Gastos_casa %>%
    dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
    dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
    dplyr::group_by(day)%>%
    summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto)/1000) %>%
      ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = day, y = gasto_total)) +
      geom_line(size=1) +
      sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
      geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
      geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2020-03-23"),linetype = "dashed", color="red") +
      labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses/Año", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi") + 
      ggtitle( "Figura. Suma de Gastos por Día") +        
      scale_x_date(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=scales::date_format("%m/%y")) +
      theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 45)) 
plotly::ggplotly(plot2)  
tsData <- Gastos_casa %>%
    dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
    dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
    dplyr::group_by(day)%>%
    summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto))%>%
    dplyr::mutate(covid=case_when(day>as.Date("2019-06-02")~1,TRUE~0))%>%
    dplyr::mutate(covid=case_when(day>as.Date("2020-03-10")~covid+1,TRUE~covid))%>%
    dplyr::mutate(covid=as.factor(covid))%>%
  data.frame()
tsData_gastos <-ts(tsData$gasto_total, frequency=7)
mstsData_gastos <- forecast::msts(Gastos_casa$monto, seasonal.periods=c(7,30))
  tsData_gastos = decompose(tsData_gastos)
#plot(tsData_Santiago, title="Descomposición del número de casos confirmados para Santiago")
forecast::autoplot(tsData_gastos, main="Descomposición de los Gastos Diarios")+
    theme_bw()+ labs(x="Weeks")

tsdata_gastos_trend<-cbind(tsData,trend=as.vector(tsData_gastos$trend))%>% na.omit()
#tsData_gastos$trend
#Using the inputted variables, a Type-2 Sum Squares ANCOVA Lagged Dependent Variable model is fitted which estimates the difference in means between interrupted and non-interrupted time periods, while accounting for the lag of the dependent variable and any further specified covariates.
#Typically such analyses use Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models to handle the serial dependence of the residuals of a linear model, which is estimated either as part of the ARIMA process or through a standard linear regression modeling process [9,17]. All such time series methods enable the effect of the event to be separated from general trends and serial dependencies in time, thereby enabling valid statistical inferences to be made about whether an intervention has had an effect on a time series.
   #it uses Type-2 Sum Squares ANCOVA Lagged Dependent Variable model
   #ITSA model da cuenta de observaciones autocorrelacionadas e impactos dinámicos mediante una regresión de deltas en rezagados. Una vez que se incorporan en el modelo, se controlan. 
#residual autocorrelation assumptions
#TSA allows the model to account for baseline levels and trends present in the data therefore allowing us to attribute significant changes to the interruption
#RDestimate(all~agecell,data=metro_region,cutpoint = 21)
tsdata_gastos_trend<-cbind(tsData,trend=as.vector(tsData_gastos$trend))%>% na.omit()

itsa_metro_region_quar2<-
        its.analysis::itsa.model(time = "day", depvar = "trend",data=tsdata_gastos_trend,
                                 interrupt_var = "covid", 
                                 alpha = 0.05,no.plots = F, bootstrap = TRUE, Reps = 10000, print = F) 

print(itsa_metro_region_quar2)
## [[1]]
## [1] "ITSA Model Fit"
## 
## $aov.result
## Anova Table (Type II tests)
## 
## Response: depvar
##                   Sum Sq  Df   F value Pr(>F)    
## interrupt_var 4.4356e+08   2    4.9343 0.0076 ** 
## lag_depvar    7.6788e+10   1 1708.4289 <2e-16 ***
## Residuals     2.2338e+10 497                     
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## $tukey.result
##   Tukey multiple comparisons of means
##     95% family-wise confidence level
## 
## Fit: stats::aov(formula = x$depvar ~ x$interrupt_var)
## 
## $`x$interrupt_var`
##          diff        lwr      upr     p adj
## 1-0  7228.838   926.4644 13531.21 0.0198028
## 2-0 27476.828 21668.0419 33285.61 0.0000000
## 2-1 20247.990 16733.1141 23762.87 0.0000000
## 
## 
## $data
##        depvar interrupt_var lag_depvar
## 2    19269.29             0   16010.00
## 3    24139.00             0   19269.29
## 4    23816.14             0   24139.00
## 5    26510.14             0   23816.14
## 6    23456.71             0   26510.14
## 7    24276.71             0   23456.71
## 8    18818.71             0   24276.71
## 9    18517.14             0   18818.71
## 10   15475.29             0   18517.14
## 11   16365.29             0   15475.29
## 12   12621.29             0   16365.29
## 13   12679.86             0   12621.29
## 14   13440.71             0   12679.86
## 15   15382.86             0   13440.71
## 16   13459.71             0   15382.86
## 17   14644.14             0   13459.71
## 18   13927.00             0   14644.14
## 19   22034.57             0   13927.00
## 20   20986.00             0   22034.57
## 21   20390.57             0   20986.00
## 22   22554.14             0   20390.57
## 23   21782.57             0   22554.14
## 24   22529.57             0   21782.57
## 25   24642.71             0   22529.57
## 26   17692.29             0   24642.71
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## 29   28706.00             0   28640.00
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## 230  86724.86             2   85163.14
## 231  80355.00             2   86724.86
## 232  74875.14             2   80355.00
## 233  81347.00             2   74875.14
## 234  66062.43             2   81347.00
## 235  56946.43             2   66062.43
## 236  47732.14             2   56946.43
## 237  38129.71             2   47732.14
## 238  42928.29             2   38129.71
## 239  45392.57             2   42928.29
## 240  37895.43             2   45392.57
## 241  30660.29             2   37895.43
## 242  42430.86             2   30660.29
## 243  35845.14             2   42430.86
## 244  40350.43             2   35845.14
## 245  31494.71             2   40350.43
## 246  30013.29             2   31494.71
## 247  34197.57             2   30013.29
## 248  37430.14             2   34197.57
## 249  26932.43             2   37430.14
## 250  33729.86             2   26932.43
## 251  38081.43             2   33729.86
## 252  44028.00             2   38081.43
## 253  47139.71             2   44028.00
## 254  46558.86             2   47139.71
## 255  58350.57             2   46558.86
## 256  78380.00             2   58350.57
## 257  78168.29             2   78380.00
## 258  70510.86             2   78168.29
## 259  72207.14             2   70510.86
## 260  67881.00             2   72207.14
## 261  69536.43             2   67881.00
## 262  62390.71             2   69536.43
## 263  50113.14             2   62390.71
## 264  45565.57             2   50113.14
## 265  45805.29             2   45565.57
## 266  41348.57             2   45805.29
## 267  51426.86             2   41348.57
## 268  47160.57             2   51426.86
## 269  51907.43             2   47160.57
## 270  49751.43             2   51907.43
## 271  54407.43             2   49751.43
## 272  54746.29             2   54407.43
## 273  61634.57             2   54746.29
## 274  58926.43             2   61634.57
## 275  69999.29             2   58926.43
## 276  63044.86             2   69999.29
## 277  63285.29             2   63044.86
## 278  61395.43             2   63285.29
## 279  67969.43             2   61395.43
## 280  60792.57             2   67969.43
## 281  56859.14             2   60792.57
## 282  44899.43             2   56859.14
## 283  43064.14             2   44899.43
## 284  62790.29             2   43064.14
## 285  69120.71             2   62790.29
## 286  69589.43             2   69120.71
## 287  66633.29             2   69589.43
## 288  65588.57             2   66633.29
## 289  70168.57             2   65588.57
## 290  74644.71             2   70168.57
## 291  52891.00             2   74644.71
## 292  41560.57             2   52891.00
## 293  34704.86             2   41560.57
## 294  46520.00             2   34704.86
## 295  50231.00             2   46520.00
## 296  49216.71             2   50231.00
## 297  76914.86             2   49216.71
## 298  83720.71             2   76914.86
## 299  84485.00             2   83720.71
## 300  89765.00             2   84485.00
## 301  87702.86             2   89765.00
## 302  82013.86             2   87702.86
## 303  85982.43             2   82013.86
## 304  57248.43             2   85982.43
## 305  52968.43             2   57248.43
## 306  52601.86             2   52968.43
## 307  45493.29             2   52601.86
## 308  42298.86             2   45493.29
## 309  46423.71             2   42298.86
## 310  37898.00             2   46423.71
## 311  36435.14             2   37898.00
## 312  30209.57             2   36435.14
## 313  34541.86             2   30209.57
## 314  33604.71             2   34541.86
## 315  37990.71             2   33604.71
## 316  35683.43             2   37990.71
## 317  65201.86             2   35683.43
## 318  62730.57             2   65201.86
## 319  64589.14             2   62730.57
## 320  73744.86             2   64589.14
## 321  76477.71             2   73744.86
## 322 105647.43             2   76477.71
## 323 103790.29             2  105647.43
## 324  76122.29             2  103790.29
## 325  74746.14             2   76122.29
## 326  72865.71             2   74746.14
## 327  63652.57             2   72865.71
## 328  60358.29             2   63652.57
## 329  25957.14             2   60358.29
## 330  30178.43             2   25957.14
## 331  30681.57             2   30178.43
## 332  33337.29             2   30681.57
## 333  32582.71             2   33337.29
## 334  39184.43             2   32582.71
## 335  40415.71             2   39184.43
## 336  34975.43             2   40415.71
## 337  34076.14             2   34975.43
## 338  34221.14             2   34076.14
## 339  28862.57             2   34221.14
## 340  35729.86             2   28862.57
## 341  36489.29             2   35729.86
## 342  36785.14             2   36489.29
## 343  37787.71             2   36785.14
## 344  39832.14             2   37787.71
## 345  41917.86             2   39832.14
## 346  41633.57             2   41917.86
## 347  33557.00             2   41633.57
## 348  22759.57             2   33557.00
## 349  28877.86             2   22759.57
## 350  27574.00             2   28877.86
## 351  27104.71             2   27574.00
## 352  24376.14             2   27104.71
## 353  29732.29             2   24376.14
## 354  34030.00             2   29732.29
## 355  39139.71             2   34030.00
## 356  37066.57             2   39139.71
## 357  38509.29             2   37066.57
## 358  40957.29             2   38509.29
## 359  49423.00             2   40957.29
## 360  50053.29             2   49423.00
## 361  50284.14             2   50053.29
## 362  53103.86             2   50284.14
## 363  50223.00             2   53103.86
## 364  49587.14             2   50223.00
## 365  41167.71             2   49587.14
## 366  37958.71             2   41167.71
## 367  33582.29             2   37958.71
## 368  31039.43             2   33582.29
## 369  26526.57             2   31039.43
## 370  34869.43             2   26526.57
## 371  37487.43             2   34869.43
## 372  46514.43             2   37487.43
## 373  39613.43             2   46514.43
## 374  38980.57             2   39613.43
## 375  37306.14             2   38980.57
## 376  36771.29             2   37306.14
## 377  26317.00             2   36771.29
## 378  31580.71             2   26317.00
## 379  23626.57             2   31580.71
## 380  33035.71             2   23626.57
## 381  44864.57             2   33035.71
## 382  48946.14             2   44864.57
## 383  46969.57             2   48946.14
## 384  49249.57             2   46969.57
## 385  56370.14             2   49249.57
## 386  67228.71             2   56370.14
## 387  59457.29             2   67228.71
## 388  53124.71             2   59457.29
## 389  52814.14             2   53124.71
## 390  61262.00             2   52814.14
## 391  61861.14             2   61262.00
## 392  71784.71             2   61861.14
## 393  59313.29             2   71784.71
## 394  61107.00             2   59313.29
## 395  60603.43             2   61107.00
## 396  60012.57             2   60603.43
## 397  58280.43             2   60012.57
## 398  56862.71             2   58280.43
## 399  41704.43             2   56862.71
## 400  51533.00             2   41704.43
## 401  50388.71             2   51533.00
## 402  49205.29             2   50388.71
## 403  56533.29             2   49205.29
## 404  47996.14             2   56533.29
## 405  47207.57             2   47996.14
## 406  45292.00             2   47207.57
## 407  40343.43             2   45292.00
## 408  39004.86             2   40343.43
## 409  36788.43             2   39004.86
## 410  30027.57             2   36788.43
## 411  39040.14             2   30027.57
## 412  42390.14             2   39040.14
## 413  36291.14             2   42390.14
## 414  30668.29             2   36291.14
## 415  47693.00             2   30668.29
## 416  52094.43             2   47693.00
## 417  56592.57             2   52094.43
## 418  47971.43             2   56592.57
## 419  43762.43             2   47971.43
## 420  42246.71             2   43762.43
## 421  46352.43             2   42246.71
## 422  33094.86             2   46352.43
## 423  32784.86             2   33094.86
## 424  26212.43             2   32784.86
## 425  32611.57             2   26212.43
## 426  42144.86             2   32611.57
## 427  50034.86             2   42144.86
## 428  46332.00             2   50034.86
## 429  42976.29             2   46332.00
## 430  39456.29             2   42976.29
## 431  39328.29             2   39456.29
## 432  35296.14             2   39328.29
## 433  30875.43             2   35296.14
## 434  27709.00             2   30875.43
## 435  29513.29             2   27709.00
## 436  31630.43             2   29513.29
## 437  29346.14             2   31630.43
## 438  34916.86             2   29346.14
## 439  42020.86             2   34916.86
## 440  38303.00             2   42020.86
## 441  37966.43             2   38303.00
## 442  41408.14             2   37966.43
## 443  38988.14             2   41408.14
## 444  43555.29             2   38988.14
## 445  38114.00             2   43555.29
## 446  27847.86             2   38114.00
## 447  26517.00             2   27847.86
## 448  39518.29             2   26517.00
## 449  39153.71             2   39518.29
## 450  45623.14             2   39153.71
## 451  40627.43             2   45623.14
## 452  41027.71             2   40627.43
## 453  42882.86             2   41027.71
## 454  47139.43             2   42882.86
## 455  35547.57             2   47139.43
## 456  41099.00             2   35547.57
## 457  35859.57             2   41099.00
## 458  44524.57             2   35859.57
## 459  48554.29             2   44524.57
## 460  51554.29             2   48554.29
## 461  47810.29             2   51554.29
## 462  50490.00             2   47810.29
## 463  50720.71             2   50490.00
## 464  52720.71             2   50720.71
## 465  52145.57             2   52720.71
## 466  55515.57             2   52145.57
## 467  52457.00             2   55515.57
## 468  58239.57             2   52457.00
## 469  50523.57             2   58239.57
## 470  47788.57             2   50523.57
## 471  46170.00             2   47788.57
## 472  42305.57             2   46170.00
## 473  46605.57             2   42305.57
## 474  55149.57             2   46605.57
## 475  48769.57             2   55149.57
## 476  50719.43             2   48769.57
## 477  44753.71             2   50719.43
## 478  42898.00             2   44753.71
## 479  46141.14             2   42898.00
## 480  34022.57             2   46141.14
## 481  26651.86             2   34022.57
## 482  28791.86             2   26651.86
## 483  31879.00             2   28791.86
## 484  33584.71             2   31879.00
## 485  34690.43             2   33584.71
## 486  27410.43             2   34690.43
## 487  41755.00             2   27410.43
## 488  49379.57             2   41755.00
## 489  57198.86             2   49379.57
## 490  51144.57             2   57198.86
## 491  56677.43             2   51144.57
## 492  65416.43             2   56677.43
## 493  69779.71             2   65416.43
## 494  54046.00             2   69779.71
## 495  43259.57             2   54046.00
## 496  40998.57             2   43259.57
## 497  41368.57             2   40998.57
## 498  42274.29             2   41368.57
## 499  35962.71             2   42274.29
## 500  38709.00             2   35962.71
## 501  44778.14             2   38709.00
## 502  51282.43             2   44778.14
## 
## $alpha
## [1] 0.05
## 
## $itsa.result
## [1] "Significant variation between time periods with chosen alpha"
## 
## $group.means
##   interrupt_var count     mean      s.d.
## 1             0    37 22066.04  6308.636
## 2             1   120 29463.10  9187.258
## 3             2   345 49711.09 15965.681
## 
## $dependent
##   [1]  19269.29  24139.00  23816.14  26510.14  23456.71  24276.71  18818.71
##   [8]  18517.14  15475.29  16365.29  12621.29  12679.86  13440.71  15382.86
##  [15]  13459.71  14644.14  13927.00  22034.57  20986.00  20390.57  22554.14
##  [22]  21782.57  22529.57  24642.71  17692.29  19668.29  28640.00  28706.00
##  [29]  28331.57  25617.86  27223.29  31622.57  32021.43  33634.57  30784.86
##  [36]  34770.57  38443.00  35073.00  31422.29  30103.29  19319.29  27926.29
##  [43]  30715.43  31962.29  39790.14  39211.57  44548.57  49398.00  41039.00
##  [50]  34821.29  29123.57  21275.71  28476.14  24561.86  20323.57  25370.00
##  [57]  26811.86  27151.86  27623.29  22896.57  41889.29  44000.14  38558.00
##  [64]  43373.86  49001.00  61213.29  58939.57  42046.86  39191.71  42646.43
##  [71]  36121.57  30915.57  20273.43  23938.29  19274.29  21662.29  15819.00
##  [78]  18126.14  17240.71  16127.71  13917.14  15379.86  19510.14  24567.29
##  [85]  25700.43  25729.00  26435.00  31157.14  29818.43  30962.43  28746.71
##  [92]  27830.71  28252.14  28717.57  21365.43  24816.86  16838.57  15529.14
##  [99]  13286.29  13629.43  14404.86  19524.86  18475.71  22495.00  22254.57
## [106]  24173.29  27466.43  24602.43  20531.14  20846.43  23875.71  36312.71
## [113]  34244.00  36347.43  39779.71  42018.71  39372.57  33444.00  29255.86
## [120]  31640.14  29671.14  31023.71  39723.43  39314.14  38239.86  34649.43
## [127]  36688.43  42867.57  42226.86  32155.14  33603.00  37254.43  33145.57
## [134]  31299.43  30252.00  26310.71  27929.86  27666.14  25017.57  27335.00
## [141]  25760.71  18436.86  21906.00  19418.14  22826.14  23444.29  25264.86
## [148]  25473.29  27366.86  28855.86  32326.86  27141.43  26297.71  23499.14
## [155]  30246.29  39931.86  38020.43  35004.00  40750.86  42363.29  46273.57
## [162]  41083.29  35711.29  41921.71  60583.29  63115.57  61300.14  57666.43
## [169]  55834.00  58927.71  57810.57  48987.14  52219.29  56503.57  56545.00
## [176]  64705.57  53833.29  50114.00  39592.43  29907.29  33923.29  45489.00
## [183]  44866.29  51680.57  58257.00  70600.57  76648.00  69430.14  69651.57
## [190]  77745.14  72795.86  67670.71  55357.86  48524.00  50154.43  45111.57
## [197]  36147.00  43501.57  41472.43  41058.00  41605.57  49382.86  59558.57
## [204]  59134.57  61109.00  63004.43  67344.29  78180.86  69117.86  55597.57
## [211]  49426.14  39119.43  35636.86  39201.14  27777.00  47207.00  55587.29
## [218]  56619.71  82679.86  91259.57  93552.71 102242.71  91884.00  85013.86
## [225]  84535.29  80700.43  79740.57  85163.14  86724.86  80355.00  74875.14
## [232]  81347.00  66062.43  56946.43  47732.14  38129.71  42928.29  45392.57
## [239]  37895.43  30660.29  42430.86  35845.14  40350.43  31494.71  30013.29
## [246]  34197.57  37430.14  26932.43  33729.86  38081.43  44028.00  47139.71
## [253]  46558.86  58350.57  78380.00  78168.29  70510.86  72207.14  67881.00
## [260]  69536.43  62390.71  50113.14  45565.57  45805.29  41348.57  51426.86
## [267]  47160.57  51907.43  49751.43  54407.43  54746.29  61634.57  58926.43
## [274]  69999.29  63044.86  63285.29  61395.43  67969.43  60792.57  56859.14
## [281]  44899.43  43064.14  62790.29  69120.71  69589.43  66633.29  65588.57
## [288]  70168.57  74644.71  52891.00  41560.57  34704.86  46520.00  50231.00
## [295]  49216.71  76914.86  83720.71  84485.00  89765.00  87702.86  82013.86
## [302]  85982.43  57248.43  52968.43  52601.86  45493.29  42298.86  46423.71
## [309]  37898.00  36435.14  30209.57  34541.86  33604.71  37990.71  35683.43
## [316]  65201.86  62730.57  64589.14  73744.86  76477.71 105647.43 103790.29
## [323]  76122.29  74746.14  72865.71  63652.57  60358.29  25957.14  30178.43
## [330]  30681.57  33337.29  32582.71  39184.43  40415.71  34975.43  34076.14
## [337]  34221.14  28862.57  35729.86  36489.29  36785.14  37787.71  39832.14
## [344]  41917.86  41633.57  33557.00  22759.57  28877.86  27574.00  27104.71
## [351]  24376.14  29732.29  34030.00  39139.71  37066.57  38509.29  40957.29
## [358]  49423.00  50053.29  50284.14  53103.86  50223.00  49587.14  41167.71
## [365]  37958.71  33582.29  31039.43  26526.57  34869.43  37487.43  46514.43
## [372]  39613.43  38980.57  37306.14  36771.29  26317.00  31580.71  23626.57
## [379]  33035.71  44864.57  48946.14  46969.57  49249.57  56370.14  67228.71
## [386]  59457.29  53124.71  52814.14  61262.00  61861.14  71784.71  59313.29
## [393]  61107.00  60603.43  60012.57  58280.43  56862.71  41704.43  51533.00
## [400]  50388.71  49205.29  56533.29  47996.14  47207.57  45292.00  40343.43
## [407]  39004.86  36788.43  30027.57  39040.14  42390.14  36291.14  30668.29
## [414]  47693.00  52094.43  56592.57  47971.43  43762.43  42246.71  46352.43
## [421]  33094.86  32784.86  26212.43  32611.57  42144.86  50034.86  46332.00
## [428]  42976.29  39456.29  39328.29  35296.14  30875.43  27709.00  29513.29
## [435]  31630.43  29346.14  34916.86  42020.86  38303.00  37966.43  41408.14
## [442]  38988.14  43555.29  38114.00  27847.86  26517.00  39518.29  39153.71
## [449]  45623.14  40627.43  41027.71  42882.86  47139.43  35547.57  41099.00
## [456]  35859.57  44524.57  48554.29  51554.29  47810.29  50490.00  50720.71
## [463]  52720.71  52145.57  55515.57  52457.00  58239.57  50523.57  47788.57
## [470]  46170.00  42305.57  46605.57  55149.57  48769.57  50719.43  44753.71
## [477]  42898.00  46141.14  34022.57  26651.86  28791.86  31879.00  33584.71
## [484]  34690.43  27410.43  41755.00  49379.57  57198.86  51144.57  56677.43
## [491]  65416.43  69779.71  54046.00  43259.57  40998.57  41368.57  42274.29
## [498]  35962.71  38709.00  44778.14  51282.43
## 
## $interrupt_var
##   [1] 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
##  [38] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
##  [75] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [112] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
## [149] 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [186] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [223] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [260] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [297] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [334] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [371] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [408] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [445] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## [482] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
## Levels: 0 1 2
## 
## $residuals
##             2             3             4             5             6 
##   2057.549133   4056.939419   -554.482462   2423.845052  -3002.082751 
##             7             8             9            10            11 
##    506.951006  -5673.190557  -1168.117290  -3944.392405   -375.549148 
##            12            13            14            15            16 
##  -4903.336942  -1547.572816   -838.297214    433.788855  -3199.722390 
##            17            18            19            20            21 
##   -321.657979  -2081.880226   6657.250549  -1531.338322  -1203.331515 
##            22            23            24            25            26 
##   1484.610303  -1192.332898    234.159538   1689.449045  -7121.940851 
##            27            28            29            30            31 
##    975.026651   8206.555902    371.522029    -61.030132  -2444.999986 
##            32            33            34            35            36 
##   1550.289409   4535.737687   1060.317926   2322.203075  -1948.142313 
##            37            38            39            40            41 
##   4547.202617   4267.942028  -2336.220543  -3019.109137  -1123.069479 
##            42            43            44            45            46 
## -10745.478355   7358.563858   2567.862286   1358.431646   8088.231025 
##            47            48            49            50            51 
##    615.975461   6462.500431   6611.844221  -6017.855691  -4874.129337 
##            52            53            54            55            56 
##  -5096.148609  -7926.254167   6185.471749  -4069.946578  -4861.075702 
##            57            58            59            60            61 
##   3917.843442    915.510566    -14.275984    157.728037  -4984.154743 
##            62            63            64            65            66 
##  18171.189837   3555.914812  -3745.176431   5863.360649   7249.368624 
##            67            68            69            70            71 
##  14506.052219   1477.460991 -13412.883065  -1391.280683   4577.844974 
##            72            73            74            75            76 
##  -4989.442380  -4449.258801 -10506.683394   2530.287987  -5361.206726 
##            77            78            79            80            81 
##   1134.193578  -6812.109274    640.984167  -2276.253854  -2609.491937 
##            82            83            84            85            86 
##  -3839.888293   -430.411194   2411.719910   3831.483522    511.000712 
##            87            88            89            90            91 
##   -458.341949    222.496324   4322.892909  -1174.425796   1148.526920 
##            92            93            94            95            96 
##  -2074.662912  -1039.370989    188.742548    283.035647  -7478.991742 
##            97            98            99           100           101 
##   2447.178212  -8570.644115  -2853.912059  -3943.607256  -1625.268835 
##           102           103           104           105           106 
##  -1152.032604   3285.078127  -2273.046196   2670.178131  -1109.876376 
##           107           108           109           110           111 
##   1020.573842   2623.980927  -3140.159719  -4689.233926   -788.527933 
##           112           113           114           115           116 
##   1963.098125  11732.326027  -1289.162183   2636.101227   4215.980605 
##           117           118           119           120           121 
##   3432.302348  -1185.639240  -4783.857328  -3750.941848   2321.675609 
##           122           123           124           125           126 
##  -1747.070504   1339.521336   8848.079469    777.299522     63.455546 
##           127           128           129           130           131 
##  -2580.892093   2620.056322   7003.532537    921.091568  -8586.370992 
##           132           133           134           135           136 
##   1731.246511   4107.604571  -3216.921274  -1444.556181   -866.159767 
##           137           138           139           140           141 
##  -3885.016572   1205.060706   -484.568644  -2900.897333   1749.023324 
##           142           143           144           145           146 
##  -1866.130061  -7803.576050   2115.398080  -3427.595947   2171.361425 
##           147           148           149           150           151 
##   -211.786506   1064.410961   -330.465708   1379.550923   1200.957470 
##           152           153           154           155           156 
##   3360.654071  -4881.546896  -1158.659361  -3214.204994   5997.529016 
##           157           158           159           160           161 
##   9741.158630  -3107.451836  -4440.560876   3962.745588    514.144405 
##           162           163           164           165           166 
##   3004.428060  -5629.491602  -6430.612288   4510.724181  17703.016835 
##           167           168           169           170           171 
##   3800.794796   -244.717633  -2279.655790   -912.015930   3795.445712 
##           172           173           174           175           176 
##    -46.208937  -7885.813985   3116.773382   4554.638738    823.066356 
##           177           178           179           180           181 
##   8947.153281  -9111.824880  -3256.318645 -10502.462270 -10921.673377 
##           182           183           184           185           186 
##   1623.648818   9652.630766  -1155.550581   6207.134972   6782.491670 
##           187           188           189           190           191 
##  13334.462603   8511.396097  -4032.192168   2545.717670  10444.285714 
##           192           193           194           195           196 
##  -1632.688196  -2399.190906 -10198.537472  -6188.948394   1459.787833 
##           197           198           199           200           201 
##  -5018.923257  -9542.449882   5706.864988  -2799.157998  -1426.600723 
##           202           203           204           205           206 
##   -514.058446   6781.002772  10107.569179    722.220133   3070.048732 
##           207           208           209           210           211 
##   3226.676164   5897.304342  12911.935258  -5694.404532 -11233.264655 
##           212           213           214           215           216 
##  -5497.912426 -10369.693695  -4775.549559   1855.699051 -12707.369241 
##           217           218           219           220           221 
##  16783.421463   8052.474779   1704.717224  26855.641079  12485.218423 
##           222           223           224           225           226 
##   7222.546300  13893.066097  -4118.587435  -1866.220385   3705.471236 
##           227           228           229           230           231 
##    292.073019   2709.422865   8977.302510   5763.572641  -1981.624496 
##           232           233           234           235           236 
##  -1851.800428   9445.950131 -11538.129873  -7193.612434  -8379.797554 
##           237           238           239           240           241 
##  -9867.569191   3387.481233   1625.854910  -8041.486895  -8674.192606 
##           242           243           244           245           246 
##   9468.082933  -7483.507996   2821.555776 -10001.785421  -3684.336730 
##           247           248           249           250           251 
##   1804.584525   1352.221045 -11992.291026   4050.059254   2415.404229 
##           252           253           254           255           256 
##   4529.718837   2404.522897   -916.697926  11386.554269  21031.486519 
##           257           258           259           260           261 
##   3180.646803  -4290.333372   4149.546777  -1670.447808   3794.843647 
##           262           263           264           265           266 
##  -4808.741097 -10793.364621  -4528.564562   -283.984009  -4951.805184 
##           267           268           269           270           271 
##   9051.332506  -4090.500766   4413.505442  -1922.863870   4631.840044 
##           272           273           274           275           276 
##    870.342167   7460.209799  -1314.173803  12143.637627  -4562.218217 
##           277           278           279           280           281 
##   1802.700498   -298.892577   7939.429851  -5026.889041  -2639.943425 
##           282           283           284           285           286 
## -11135.642764  -2438.481203  18903.925184   7862.320057   2756.076315 
##           287           288           289           290           291 
##   -612.844672    945.799119   6445.837664   6888.555694 -18807.120541 
##           292           293           294           295           296 
## -10979.913462  -7857.367508   9995.331726   3301.202789   -981.213828 
##           297           298           299           300           301 
##  27610.170335  10023.368731   4794.005282   9400.929087   2688.899093 
##           302           303           304           305           306 
##  -1184.053266   7794.595421 -24434.368450  -3409.471294     -6.816028 
##           307           308           309           310           311 
##  -6792.562500  -3726.753411   3211.310611  -8947.002192  -2901.600019 
##           312           313           314           315           316 
##  -7838.891028   1976.009175  -2776.406336   2434.898307  -3734.964108 
##           317           318           319           320           321 
##  27815.399722   -651.598362   3383.336637  10902.280586   5572.062334 
##           322           323           324           325           326 
##  32335.057439   4789.301090 -21243.186660   1746.783608   1078.269614 
##           327           328           329           330           331 
##  -6478.854185  -1659.489434 -33159.485176   1357.526232  -1856.850256 
##           332           333           334           335           336 
##    355.766018  -2737.587929   4528.647565    -53.935345  -6578.565681 
##           337           338           339           340           341 
##  -2686.806971  -1749.841616  -7236.108808   4350.258792   -938.059513 
##           342           343           344           345           346 
##  -1311.001072   -568.979326    592.524247    877.791163  -1243.300618 
##           347           348           349           350           351 
##  -9069.512863 -12754.224466   2872.929473  -3819.059875  -3140.090181 
##           352           353           354           355           356 
##  -5455.380245   2303.707534   1884.478681   3209.366002  -3363.700099 
##           357           358           359           360           361 
##    -95.250908   1082.207691   7392.065213    566.931238    242.720685 
##           362           363           364           365           366 
##   2859.128217  -2504.939757   -603.739973  -8463.194312  -4257.536620 
##           367           368           369           370           371 
##  -5807.925831  -4496.635451  -6770.098897   5547.053014    817.828750 
##           372           373           374           375           376 
##   7539.259712  -7311.462103  -1866.881532  -2983.977852  -2044.231988 
##           377           378           379           380           381 
## -12027.490174   2442.899995 -10146.787814   6267.254012   9809.851242 
##           382           383           384           385           386 
##   3474.216104  -2096.833825   1923.854444   7036.520063  11624.285907 
##           387           388           389           390           391 
##  -5709.856985  -5198.438688     67.835040   8789.200155   1948.649402 
##           392           393           394           395           396 
##  11344.579416  -9866.145961   2910.662130    827.437484    680.055779 
##           397           398           399           400           401 
##   -531.742565   -424.027156 -14333.787980   8844.086054   -955.833724 
##           402           403           404           405           406 
##  -1131.535132   7238.663597  -7751.958983  -1022.206405  -2243.314170 
##           407           408           409           410           411 
##  -5504.917616  -2485.477941  -3523.079605  -8332.015782   6634.575090 
##           412           413           414           415           416 
##   2047.559947  -7001.652535  -7253.361639  14723.180507   4131.616661 
##           417           418           419           420           421 
##   4753.595484  -7828.883852  -4445.584368  -2254.598851   3185.945048 
##           422           423           424           425           426 
## -13687.366540  -2321.947819  -8621.371653   3565.849059   7463.662792 
##           427           428           429           430           431 
##   6958.075176  -3693.192858  -3787.947334  -4352.702506  -1380.777748 
##           432           433           434           435           436 
##  -5300.196069  -6169.961641  -5443.242013   -850.407912   -322.228111 
##           437           438           439           440           441 
##  -4470.997790   3111.396563   5309.488855  -4664.580072  -1726.981783 
##           442           443           444           445           446 
##   2011.137645  -3439.843981   3258.497148  -6204.890616 -11679.108388 
##           447           448           449           450           451 
##  -3968.979619  10204.339335  -1609.950124   5180.542083  -5512.542032 
##           452           453           454           455           456 
##   -712.728364    789.898699   3412.719198 -11927.732023   3832.186590 
##           457           458           459           460           461 
##  -6296.165524   6982.991961   3381.783512   2832.973545  -3553.007782 
##           462           463           464           465           466 
##   2423.899200    294.695117   2091.514172   -244.949570   3631.555993 
##           467           468           469           470           471 
##  -2394.841127   6081.293170  -6727.188744  -2667.012769  -1876.977887 
##           472           473           474           475           476 
##  -4315.994628   3387.254748   8144.414845  -5759.947976   1808.522790 
##           477           478           479           480           481 
##  -5874.353550  -2476.299253   2401.097769 -12573.581284  -9271.949092 
##           482           483           484           485           486 
##   -640.852587    561.676923   -451.333386   -847.774198  -9101.533030 
##           487           488           489           490           491 
##  11654.246420   6646.121226   7750.748492  -5189.672840   5674.954239 
##           492           493           494           495           496 
##   9541.385819   6208.579926 -13367.707488 -10298.076273  -3059.895314 
##           497           498           499           500           501 
##   -698.722054   -118.852132  -7228.050304   1076.586698   4727.184363 
##           502 
##   5886.616042 
## 
## $fitted.values
##        2        3        4        5        6        7        8        9 
## 17211.74 20082.06 24370.63 24086.30 26458.80 23769.76 24491.90 19685.26 
##       10       11       12       13       14       15       16       17 
## 19419.68 16740.83 17524.62 14227.43 14279.01 14949.07 16659.44 14965.80 
##       18       19       20       21       22       23       24       25 
## 16008.88 15377.32 22517.34 21593.90 21069.53 22974.90 22295.41 22953.27 
##       26       27       28       29       30       31       32       33 
## 24814.23 18693.26 20433.44 28334.48 28392.60 28062.86 25673.00 27086.83 
##       34       35       36       37       38       39       40       41 
## 30961.11 31312.37 32733.00 30223.37 34175.06 37409.22 34441.39 31226.36 
##       42       43       44       45       46       47       48       49 
## 30064.76 20567.72 28147.57 30603.85 31701.91 38595.60 38086.07 42786.16 
##       50       51       52       53       54       55       56       57 
## 47056.86 39695.42 34219.72 29201.97 22290.67 28631.80 25184.65 21452.16 
##       58       59       60       61       62       63       64       65 
## 25896.35 27166.13 27465.56 27880.73 23718.10 40444.23 42303.18 37510.50 
##       66       67       68       69       70       71       72       73 
## 41751.63 46707.23 57462.11 55459.74 40582.99 38068.58 41111.01 35364.83 
##       74       75       76       77       78       79       80       81 
## 30780.11 21408.00 24635.49 20528.09 22631.11 17485.16 19516.97 18737.21 
##       82       83       84       85       86       87       88       89 
## 17757.03 15810.27 17098.42 20735.80 25189.43 26187.34 26212.50 26834.25 
##       90       91       92       93       94       95       96       97 
## 30992.85 29813.90 30821.38 28870.09 28063.40 28434.54 28844.42 22369.68 
##       98       99      100      101      102      103      104      105 
## 25409.22 18383.05 17229.89 15254.70 15556.89 16239.78 20748.76 19824.82 
##      106      107      108      109      110      111      112      113 
## 23364.45 23152.71 24842.45 27742.59 25220.38 21634.96 21912.62 24580.39 
##      114      115      116      117      118      119      120      121 
## 35533.16 33711.33 35563.73 38586.41 40558.21 38227.86 33006.80 29318.47 
##      122      123      124      125      126      127      128      129 
## 31418.21 29684.19 30875.35 38536.84 38176.40 37230.32 34068.37 35864.04 
##      130      131      132      133      134      135      136      137 
## 41305.77 40741.51 31871.75 33146.82 36362.49 32743.98 31118.16 30195.73 
##      138      139      140      141      142      143      144      145 
## 26724.80 28150.71 27918.47 25585.98 27626.84 26240.43 19790.60 22845.74 
##      146      147      148      149      150      151      152      153 
## 20654.78 23656.07 24200.45 25803.75 25987.31 27654.90 28966.20 32022.98 
##      154      155      156      157      158      159      160      161 
## 27456.37 26713.35 24248.76 30190.70 41127.88 39444.56 36788.11 41849.14 
##      162      163      164      165      166      167      168      169 
## 43269.14 46712.78 42141.90 37410.99 42880.27 59314.78 61544.86 59946.08 
##      170      171      172      173      174      175      176      177 
## 56746.02 55132.27 57856.78 56872.96 49102.51 51948.93 55721.93 55758.42 
##      178      179      180      181      182      183      184      185 
## 62945.11 53370.32 50094.89 40828.96 32299.64 35836.37 46021.84 45473.44 
##      186      187      188      189      190      191      192      193 
## 51474.51 57266.11 68136.60 73462.34 67105.85 67300.86 74428.55 70069.91 
##      194      195      196      197      198      199      200      201 
## 65556.39 54712.95 48694.64 50130.49 45689.45 37794.71 44271.59 42484.60 
##      202      203      204      205      206      207      208      209 
## 42119.63 42601.85 49451.00 58412.35 58038.95 59777.75 61446.98 65268.92 
##      210      211      212      213      214      215      216      217 
## 74812.26 66830.84 54924.06 49489.12 40412.41 37345.44 40484.37 30423.58 
##      218      219      220      221      222      223      224      225 
## 47534.81 54915.00 55824.22 78774.35 86330.17 88349.65 96002.59 86880.08 
##      226      227      228      229      230      231      232      233 
## 80829.81 80408.36 77031.15 76185.84 80961.28 82336.62 76726.94 71901.05 
##      234      235      236      237      238      239      240      241 
## 77600.56 64140.04 56111.94 47997.28 39540.80 43766.72 45936.92 39334.48 
##      242      243      244      245      246      247      248      249 
## 32962.77 43328.65 37528.87 41496.50 33697.62 32392.99 36077.92 38924.72 
##      250      251      252      253      254      255      256      257 
## 29679.80 35666.02 39498.28 44735.19 47475.56 46964.02 57348.51 74987.64 
##      258      259      260      261      262      263      264      265 
## 74801.19 68057.60 69551.45 65741.58 67199.46 60906.51 50094.14 46089.27 
##      266      267      268      269      270      271      272      273 
## 46300.38 42375.52 51251.07 47493.92 51674.29 49775.59 53875.94 54174.36 
##      274      275      276      277      278      279      280      281 
## 60240.60 57855.65 67607.08 61482.59 61694.32 60030.00 65819.46 59499.09 
##      282      283      284      285      286      287      288      289 
## 56035.07 45502.62 43886.36 61258.39 66833.35 67246.13 64642.77 63722.73 
##      290      291      292      293      294      295      296      297 
## 67756.16 71698.12 52540.48 42562.22 36524.67 46929.80 50197.93 49304.69 
##      298      299      300      301      302      303      304      305 
## 73697.35 79690.99 80364.07 85013.96 83197.91 78187.83 81682.80 56377.90 
##      306      307      308      309      310      311      312      313 
## 52608.67 52285.85 46025.61 43212.40 46845.00 39336.74 38048.46 32565.85 
##      314      315      316      317      318      319      320      321 
## 36381.12 35555.82 39418.39 37386.46 63382.17 61205.81 62842.58 70905.65 
##      322      323      324      325      326      327      328      329 
## 73312.37 99000.98 97365.47 72999.36 71787.44 70131.43 62017.78 59116.63 
##      330      331      332      333      334      335      336      337 
## 28820.90 32538.42 32981.52 35320.30 34655.78 40469.65 41553.99 36762.95 
##      338      339      340      341      342      343      344      345 
## 35970.98 36098.68 31379.60 37427.35 38096.14 38356.69 39239.62 41040.07 
##      346      347      348      349      350      351      352      353 
## 42876.87 42626.51 35513.80 26004.93 31393.06 30244.80 29831.52 27428.58 
##      354      355      356      357      358      359      360      361 
## 32145.52 35930.35 40430.27 38604.54 39875.08 42030.93 49486.35 50041.42 
##      362      363      364      365      366      367      368      369 
## 50244.73 52727.94 50190.88 49630.91 42216.25 39390.21 35536.06 33296.67 
##      370      371      372      373      374      375      376      377 
## 29322.38 36669.60 38975.17 46924.89 40847.45 40290.12 38815.52 38344.49 
##      378      379      380      381      382      383      384      385 
## 29137.81 33773.36 26768.46 35054.72 45471.93 49066.41 47325.72 49333.62 
##      386      387      388      389      390      391      392      393 
## 55604.43 65167.14 58323.15 52746.31 52472.80 59912.49 60440.13 69179.43 
##      394      395      396      397      398      399      400      401 
## 58196.34 59775.99 59332.52 58812.17 57286.74 56038.22 42688.91 51344.55 
##      402      403      404      405      406      407      408      409 
## 50336.82 49294.62 55748.10 48229.78 47535.31 45848.35 41490.34 40311.51 
##      410      411      412      413      414      415      416      417 
## 38359.59 32405.57 40342.58 43292.80 37921.65 32969.82 47962.81 51838.98 
##      418      419      420      421      422      423      424      425 
## 55800.31 48208.01 44501.31 43166.48 46782.22 35106.80 34833.80 29045.72 
##      426      427      428      429      430      431      432      433 
## 34681.19 43076.78 50025.19 46764.23 43808.99 40709.06 40596.34 37045.39 
##      434      435      436      437      438      439      440      441 
## 33152.24 30363.69 31952.66 33817.14 31805.46 36711.37 42967.58 39693.41 
##      442      443      444      445      446      447      448      449 
## 39397.01 42427.99 40296.79 44318.89 39526.97 30485.98 29313.95 40763.66 
##      450      451      452      453      454      455      456      457 
## 40442.60 46139.97 41740.44 42092.96 43726.71 47475.30 37266.81 42155.74 
##      458      459      460      461      462      463      464      465 
## 37541.58 45172.50 48721.31 51363.29 48066.10 50426.02 50629.20 52390.52 
##      466      467      468      469      470      471      472      473 
## 51884.02 54851.84 52158.28 57250.76 50455.58 48046.98 46621.57 43218.32 
##      474      475      476      477      478      479      480      481 
## 47005.16 54529.52 48910.91 50628.07 45374.30 43740.05 46596.15 35923.81 
##      482      483      484      485      486      487      488      489 
## 29432.71 31317.32 34036.05 35538.20 36511.96 30100.75 42733.45 49448.11 
##      490      491      492      493      494      495      496      497 
## 56334.24 51002.47 55875.04 63571.13 67413.71 53557.65 44058.47 42067.29 
##      498      499      500      501      502 
## 42393.14 43190.76 37632.41 40050.96 45395.81 
## 
## $shapiro.test
## [1] 0
## 
## $levenes.test
## [1] 0
## 
## $autcorr
## [1] "No autocorrelation evidence"
## 
## $post_sums
## [1] "Post-Est Warning"
## 
## $adjr_sq
## [1] 0.8523
## 
## $fstat.bootstrap
## 
## ORDINARY NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP
## 
## 
## Call:
## boot::boot(data = x, statistic = f.stat, R = Reps, formula = depvar ~ 
##     ., parallel = parr)
## 
## 
## Bootstrap Statistics :
##        original    bias    std. error
## t1*    4.934335  0.572107    2.962175
## t2* 1708.428880 27.224608  245.495182
## WARNING: All values of t3* are NA
## 
## $itsa.plot
## 
## $booted.ints
##       Parameter    Lower CI Median F-value   Upper CI
## 1 interrupt_var    1.474269       5.087471   10.94558
## 2    lag_depvar 1363.301631    1720.173679 2161.50987

Ahora con las tendencias descompuestas

require(zoo)
require(scales)
Gastos_casa %>%
    dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(fecha2=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
    dplyr::mutate(gastador=ifelse(gastador=="Andrés",1,0)) %>%
    dplyr::mutate(treat=ifelse(fecha2>"2019-W26",1,0)) %>% 
   dplyr::mutate(gasto= dplyr::case_when(gasto=="Gas"~"Gas/Bencina",
    gasto=="aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="Tina"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Nexium"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="donaciones"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="Regalo chocolates"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="filtro piscina msp"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Chromecast"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Muebles ratan"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Vacuna Influenza"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Easy"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Sopapo"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="filtro agua"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="ropa tami"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="yaz"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Yaz"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Remedio"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Entel"~"VTR",
                                            gasto=="Kerosen"~"Gas/Bencina",
                                            gasto=="Parafina"~"Gas/Bencina",
                                            gasto=="Plata basurero"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="Matri Andrés Kogan"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="Wild Protein"~"Comida",
                                            gasto=="Granola Wild Foods"~"Comida",
                                            gasto=="uber"~"Transporte",
                                            gasto=="Uber Reñaca"~"Transporte",
                                            gasto=="filtro piscina mspa"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Limpieza Alfombra"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Limpieza alfombras"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Pila estufa"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Reloj"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Arreglo"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Pan Pepperino"~"Comida",
                                            gasto=="Cookidoo"~"Comida",
                                            gasto=="remedios"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Bendina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
                                            gasto=="Bencina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
                                            gasto=="Vacunas Influenza"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Remedios"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                        T~gasto)) %>% 
    dplyr::group_by(gastador, fecha,gasto, .drop=F) %>%
    #dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=week(parse_date(fecha))) %>% 
#    dplyr::mutate(fecha_simp=tsibble::yearweek(fecha)) %>%#después de  diosi. Junio 24, 2019   
    dplyr::summarise(monto=sum(monto)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(gastador_nombre=plyr::revalue(as.character(gastador), c("0" = "Tami", "1"="Andrés"))) %>% 
  ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = fecha, y = monto, color=as.factor(gastador_nombre))) +
  #stat_summary(geom = "line", fun.y = median, size = 1, alpha=0.5, aes(color="blue")) +
  geom_line(size=1) +
  facet_grid(gasto~.)+
  #geom_text(aes(x = fech_ing_qrt, y = perc_dup-0.05, label = paste0(n)), vjust = -1,hjust = 0, angle=45, size=3) +

  geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
  labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Semanas y Meses", subtitle="Interlineado, incorporación de la Diosi; Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") +
  ggtitle( "Figura 6. Gastos Semanales por Gastador e ítem (media)") +
  scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) + 
  scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
  scale_x_yearweek(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=date_format("%m/%y")) +
  guides(color = F)+
  sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35)) +
  theme(
    panel.border = element_blank(), 
    panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
    panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), 
    axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
    )

autoplot(forecast::mstl(Gastos_casa$monto, lambda = "auto",iterate=5000000,start = 
lubridate::decimal_date(as.Date("2019-03-03"))))

 # scale_x_continuous(breaks = seq(0,400,by=30))
msts <- forecast::msts(Gastos_casa$monto,seasonal.periods = c(7,30.5,365.25),start = 
lubridate::decimal_date(as.Date("2019-03-03")))
#tbats <- forecast::tbats(msts,use.trend = FALSE)
#plot(tbats, main="Multiple Season Decomposition")
library(bsts)
library(CausalImpact)
ts_week_covid<-  
Gastos_casa %>%
    dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(fecha_week=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-W%V")) %>%
    dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
    dplyr::group_by(fecha_week)%>%
    dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto,na.rm=T)/1000,min_day=min(day))%>%
    dplyr::ungroup() %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(covid=dplyr::case_when(min_day>=as.Date("2020-03-17")~1,TRUE~0))%>%
    dplyr::mutate(covid=as.factor(covid))%>%
    data.frame()


ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na<-ts_week_covid$gasto_total
post_resp<-ts_week_covid$gasto_total[which(ts_week_covid$covid==1)]
ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na[which(ts_week_covid$covid==1)]<-NA
ts_week_covid$gasto_total[which(ts_week_covid$covid==0)]
##  [1]  98.357   4.780  56.784  50.506  64.483  67.248  49.299  35.786  58.503
## [10]  64.083  20.148  73.476 127.004  81.551  69.599 134.446  58.936  26.145
## [19] 129.927 104.989 130.860  81.893  95.697  64.579 303.471 151.106  49.275
## [28]  76.293  33.940  83.071 119.512  20.942  58.055  71.728  44.090  33.740
## [37]  59.264  77.410  60.831  63.376  48.754 235.284  29.604 115.143  72.419
## [46]   5.980  80.063 149.178  69.918 107.601  72.724  63.203  99.681 130.309
## [55] 195.898 112.066
# Model 1
ssd <- list()
# Local trend, weekly-seasonal #https://qastack.mx/stats/209426/predictions-from-bsts-model-in-r-are-failing-completely - PUSE UN GENERALIZED LOCAL TREND
ssd <- AddLocalLevel(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na) #AddSemilocalLinearTrend #AddLocalLevel
# Add weekly seasonal
ssd <- AddSeasonal(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na,nseasons=5, season.duration = 52) #weeks OJO, ESTOS NO SON WEEKS VERDADEROS. PORQUE TENGO MAS DE EUN AÑO
ssd <- AddSeasonal(ssd, ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na, nseasons = 12, season.duration =4) #years
# For example, to add a day-of-week component to data with daily granularity, use model.args = list(nseasons = 7, season.duration = 1). To add a day-of-week component to data with hourly granularity, set model.args = list(nseasons = 7, season.duration = 24).
model1d1 <- bsts(ts_week_covid$gasto_total_na, 
               state.specification = ssd, #A list with elements created by AddLocalLinearTrend, AddSeasonal, and similar functions for adding components of state. See the help page for state.specification.
               family ="student", #A Bayesian Analysis of Time-Series Event Count Data. POISSON NO SE PUEDE OCUPAR
               niter = 20000, 
               #burn = 200, #http://finzi.psych.upenn.edu/library/bsts/html/SuggestBurn.html Suggest the size of an MCMC burn in sample as a proportion of the total run.
               seed= 2125)
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 0 Mon Oct 10 01:04:20 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 2000 Mon Oct 10 01:04:27 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 4000 Mon Oct 10 01:04:34 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 6000 Mon Oct 10 01:04:41 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 8000 Mon Oct 10 01:04:48 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 10000 Mon Oct 10 01:04:55 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 12000 Mon Oct 10 01:05:03 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 14000 Mon Oct 10 01:05:10 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 16000 Mon Oct 10 01:05:17 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
## =-=-=-=-= Iteration 18000 Mon Oct 10 01:05:24 2022
##  =-=-=-=-=
#,
#               dynamic.regression=T)
#plot(model1d1, main = "Model 1")
#plot(model1d1, "components")

impact2d1 <- CausalImpact(bsts.model = model1d1,
                       post.period.response = post_resp)
plot(impact2d1)+
xlab("Date")+
  ylab("Monto Semanal (En miles)")

burn1d1 <- SuggestBurn(0.1, model1d1)
corpus <- Corpus(VectorSource(Gastos_casa$obs)) # formato de texto
d  <- tm_map(corpus, tolower)
d  <- tm_map(d, stripWhitespace)
d <- tm_map(d, removePunctuation)
d <- tm_map(d, removeNumbers)
d <- tm_map(d, removeWords, stopwords("spanish"))
d <- tm_map(d, removeWords, "menos")
tdm <- TermDocumentMatrix(d)
m <- as.matrix(tdm) #lo vuelve una matriz
v <- sort(rowSums(m),decreasing=TRUE) #lo ordena y suma
df <- data.frame(word = names(v),freq=v) # lo nombra y le da formato de data.frame
#findFreqTerms(tdm)
#require(devtools)
#install_github("lchiffon/wordcloud2")
#wordcloud2::wordcloud2(v, size=1.2)
wordcloud(words = df$word, freq = df$freq, 
          max.words=100, random.order=FALSE, rot.per=0.35, 
          colors=brewer.pal(8, "Dark2"), main="Figura 7. Nube de Palabras, Observaciones")

fit_month_gasto <- Gastos_casa %>%
    dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
    dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-%m")) %>%
    dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))%>%
  dplyr::mutate(gasto2= dplyr::case_when(gasto=="Gas"~"Gas/Bencina",
    gasto=="aspiradora"~"electrodomésticos/mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="Tina"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Nexium"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="donaciones"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="Regalo chocolates"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="filtro piscina msp"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Chromecast"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Muebles ratan"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Vacuna Influenza"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Easy"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Sopapo"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="filtro agua"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="ropa tami"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="yaz"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Yaz"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Remedio"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Entel"~"VTR",
                                            gasto=="Kerosen"~"Gas/Bencina",
                                            gasto=="Parafina"~"Gas/Bencina",
                                            gasto=="Plata basurero"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="Matri Andrés Kogan"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                            gasto=="Wild Protein"~"Comida",
                                            gasto=="Granola Wild Foods"~"Comida",
                                            gasto=="uber"~"Otros",
                                            gasto=="Uber Reñaca"~"Otros",
                                            gasto=="filtro piscina mspa"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Limpieza Alfombra"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Aspiradora"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Limpieza alfombras"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Pila estufa"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Reloj"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Arreglo"~"Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa",
                                            gasto=="Pan Pepperino"~"Comida",
                                            gasto=="Cookidoo"~"Comida",
                                            gasto=="remedios"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Bendina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
                                            gasto=="Bencina Reñaca"~"Gas/Bencina",
                                            gasto=="Vacunas Influenza"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Remedios"~"Farmacia",
                                            gasto=="Plata fiestas patrias basureros"~"donaciones/regalos",
                                        T~gasto)) %>% 
  dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=factor(fecha_month, levels=format(seq(from = as.Date("2019-03-03"), to = as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)), by = "1 month"),"%Y-%m")))%>% 
  dplyr::mutate(gasto2=factor(gasto2, levels=c("Agua", "Comida", "Comunicaciones","Electricidad", "Enceres", "Farmacia", "Gas/Bencina", "Diosi", "donaciones/regalos", "Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa", "VTR", "Netflix", "Otros")))%>% 
    dplyr::group_by(fecha_month, gasto2, .drop=F)%>%
    dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=sum(monto, na.rm = T)/1000)%>%
  data.frame() %>% na.omit()

fit_month_gasto_23<-
fit_month_gasto %>% 
    #dplyr::filter()
    dplyr::filter(grepl("2023",fecha_month)) %>% 
    #sacar el ultimo mes
    dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>% 
    dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>% 
    dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>% 
  data.frame()%>% ungroup()

fit_month_gasto_22<-
fit_month_gasto %>% 
    #dplyr::filter()
    dplyr::filter(grepl("2022",fecha_month)) %>% 
    #sacar el ultimo mes
    dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>% 
    dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>% 
    dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>% 
  data.frame()%>% ungroup()

fit_month_gasto_21<-
fit_month_gasto %>% 
    #dplyr::filter()
    dplyr::filter(grepl("2021|2022",fecha_month)) %>% 
    #sacar el ultimo mes
    dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>% 
    dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>% 
    dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>% 
  data.frame()%>% ungroup()


fit_month_gasto_20<-
fit_month_gasto %>% 
    #dplyr::filter()
    dplyr::filter(grepl("202",fecha_month)) %>% 
    #sacar el ultimo mes
    dplyr::filter(as.character(format(as.Date(substr(Sys.time(),1,10)),"%Y-%m"))!=fecha_month) %>% 
    dplyr::group_by(gasto2) %>% 
    dplyr::summarise(gasto_prom=mean(gasto_total, na.rm=T)) %>% 
  data.frame() %>% ungroup()

fit_month_gasto_23 %>% 
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_22,by="gasto2") %>%
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_21,by="gasto2") %>% 
dplyr::right_join(fit_month_gasto_20,by="gasto2") %>% 
  janitor::adorn_totals() %>% 
  #dplyr::select(-3)%>% 
  knitr::kable(format = "markdown", size=12, col.names= c("Item","2023","2022","2021","2020"))
Item 2023 2022 2021 2020
Agua NA 6.092444 5.953429 7.402273
Comida NA 301.994333 311.081333 340.845818
Comunicaciones NA 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
Electricidad NA 43.415778 35.477048 30.068879
Enceres NA 20.355000 17.181381 25.119788
Farmacia NA 2.442222 9.044429 10.859818
Gas/Bencina NA 50.616667 29.454952 25.019818
Diosi NA 16.129222 37.019857 37.056758
donaciones/regalos NA 0.000000 8.194381 8.324818
Electrodomésticos/ Mantención casa NA 5.258667 34.593714 25.135394
VTR NA 26.212222 22.140619 21.039939
Netflix NA 7.695444 7.314476 7.653667
Otros NA 4.201444 1.800619 1.145849
Total 0 484.413444 519.256238 539.672818
## Joining, by = "word"


2. UF Proyectada

Saqué la UF proyectada

#options(max.print=5000)

uf18 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2018.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf19 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2019.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf20 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2020.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf21 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2021.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")
uf22 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2022.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table")

tryCatch(uf23 <-rvest::read_html("https://www.sii.cl/valores_y_fechas/uf/uf2023.htm")%>% rvest::html_nodes("table"),
    error = function(c) {
      uf23b <<- cbind.data.frame(Día=NA, variable=NA, value=NA)
      
    }
  )

tryCatch(uf23 <-uf23[[length(uf23)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1),
    error = function(c) {
      uf23 <<- cbind.data.frame(Día=NA, variable=NA, value=NA)
    }
)

uf_serie<-
bind_rows(
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2018, uf18[[length(uf18)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),

cbind.data.frame(anio= 2019, uf19[[length(uf19)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),

cbind.data.frame(anio= 2020, uf20[[length(uf20)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),

cbind.data.frame(anio= 2021, uf21[[length(uf21)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),

cbind.data.frame(anio= 2022, uf22[[length(uf22)]] %>% rvest::html_table() %>% data.frame() %>% reshape2::melt(id.vars=1)),
cbind.data.frame(anio= 2023, uf23)
)

uf_serie_corrected<-
uf_serie %>% 
dplyr::mutate(month=plyr::revalue(tolower(.[[3]]),c("ene" = 1, "feb"=2, "mar"=3, "abr"=4, "may"=5, "jun"=6, "jul"=7, "ago"=8, "sep"=9, "oct"=10, "nov"=11, "dic"=12))) %>% 
  dplyr::mutate(value=stringr::str_trim(value), value= sub("\\.","",value),value= as.numeric(sub("\\,",".",value))) %>% 
  dplyr::mutate(date=paste0(sprintf("%02d", .[[2]])," ",sprintf("%02d",as.numeric(month)),", ",.[[1]]), date3=lubridate::parse_date_time(date,c("%d %m, %Y"),exact=T),date2=date3) %>% 
   na.omit()#%>%  dplyr::filter(is.na(date3))
## Warning: 35 failed to parse.
#Day of the month as decimal number (1–31), with a leading space for a single-digit number.
#Abbreviated month name in the current locale on this platform. (Also matches full name on input: in some locales there are no abbreviations of names.)

warning(paste0("number of observations:",nrow(uf_serie_corrected),",  min uf: ",min(uf_serie_corrected$value),",  min date: ",min(uf_serie_corrected $date3 )))
## Warning: number of observations:1743, min uf: 26799.01, min date: 2018-01-01
# 
# uf_proyectado <- readxl::read_excel("uf_proyectado.xlsx") %>% dplyr::arrange(Período) %>% 
#   dplyr::mutate(Período= as.Date(lubridate::parse_date_time(Período, c("%Y-%m-%d"),exact=T)))

ts_uf_proy<-
ts(data = uf_serie_corrected$value, 
   start = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01")), 
   end = as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)])), frequency = 1,
   deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))

fit_tbats <- forecast::tbats(ts_uf_proy)


fr_fit_tbats<-forecast::forecast(fit_tbats, h=298)

La proyección de la UF a 298 días más 2022-10-09 00:04:58 sería de: 36.024 pesos// Percentil 95% más alto proyectado: 39.527,33

Ahora con un modelo ARIMA automático


arima_optimal_uf = forecast::auto.arima(ts_uf_proy)

  autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(arima_optimal_uf, h=298), ts.colour = "darkred",
           predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>% 
  plotly::layout(showlegend = F, 
          yaxis = list(title = "Gastos"),
         xaxis = list(
    title="Fecha",
      ticktext = as.list(seq(from = as.Date("2018-01-01"), 
                                  to = as.Date("2018-01-01")+length(fit_tbats$fitted.values)+298, by = 90)), 
      tickvals = as.list(seq(from = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01")), 
                             to = as.numeric(as.Date("2018-01-01"))+length(fit_tbats$fitted.values)+298, by = 90)),
      tickmode = "array",
    tickangle = 90
    ))
fr_fit_tbats_uf<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal_uf, h=298)
dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)) %>% 
dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_uf)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>% 
  dplyr::mutate(variable=factor(variable,levels=c("Lo.95","Lo.80","Point.Forecast","Hi.80","Hi.95"))) %>% 
  dplyr::arrange(variable) %>% 
  knitr::kable(format="markdown", caption="Tabla. Estimación UF (de aquí a 298 días) según cálculos de gastos mensuales",
               col.names= c("Item","UF Proyectada (TBATS)","UF Proyectada (ARIMA)"))
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
Tabla. Estimación UF (de aquí a 298 días) según cálculos de gastos mensuales
Item UF Proyectada (TBATS) UF Proyectada (ARIMA)
Lo.95 34620.70 34573.97
Lo.80 34807.56 34841.43
Point.Forecast 36024.04 38454.70
Hi.80 37925.43 43096.21
Hi.95 38971.37 45553.27


3. Gastos proyectados

Lo haré en base a 2 cálculos: el gasto semanal y el gasto mensual en base a mis gastos desde marzo de 2019. La primera proyección la hice añadiendo el precio del arriendo mensual y partiendo en 2 (porque es con yo y Tami). No se incluye el último mes.

Gastos_casa_nvo <- readr::read_csv(as.character(path_sec),
                               col_names = c("Tiempo", "gasto", "fecha", "obs", "monto", "gastador",
                                             "link"),skip=1) %>% 
              dplyr::mutate(fecha= lubridate::parse_date_time(fecha, c("%d/%m/%Y"),exact=T)) %>% 
              dplyr::mutate(fecha_month=strftime(fecha, format = "%Y-%m")) %>%
              dplyr::mutate(day=as.Date(as.character(lubridate::floor_date(fecha, "day"))))
Gastos_casa_m <-
Gastos_casa_nvo %>% dplyr::group_by(fecha_month)%>%
              dplyr::summarise(gasto_total=(sum(monto)+500000)/1000,fecha=first(fecha))%>%
              data.frame()

uf_serie_corrected_m <-
uf_serie_corrected %>% dplyr::mutate(ano_m=paste0(anio,"-",sprintf("%02d",as.numeric(month)))) %>%  dplyr::group_by(ano_m)%>%
              dplyr::summarise(uf=(mean(value))/1000,fecha=first(date3))%>%
              data.frame() %>% 
  dplyr::filter(fecha>="2019-02-28")
#Error: Error in standardise_path(file) : object 'enlace_gastos' not found

ts_uf_serie_corrected_m<-
ts(data = uf_serie_corrected_m$uf[-length(uf_serie_corrected_m$uf)], 
   start = 1, 
   end = nrow(uf_serie_corrected_m), 
   frequency = 1,
   deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))

ts_gastos_casa_m<-
ts(data = Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total[-length(Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total)], 
   start = 1, 
   end = nrow(Gastos_casa_m), 
   frequency = 1,
   deltat = 1, ts.eps = getOption("ts.eps"))

fit_tbats_m <- forecast::tbats(ts_gastos_casa_m)

seq_dates<-format(seq(as.Date("2019/03/01"), by = "month", length = dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), "%m\n'%y")

autplo2t<-
  autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(fit_tbats_m, h=12), ts.colour = "darkred",
           predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>% 
  plotly::layout(showlegend = F, 
          yaxis = list(title = "Gastos (en miles)"),
         xaxis = list(
    title="Fecha",
      ticktext = as.list(seq_dates[seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)]), 
      tickvals = as.list(seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)),
      tickmode = "array"#"array"
    )) 

autplo2t

Ahora asumiendo un modelo ARIMA, e incluimos como regresor al precio de la UF.

paste0("Optimo pero sin regresor")
## [1] "Optimo pero sin regresor"
arima_optimal = forecast::auto.arima(ts_gastos_casa_m)
arima_optimal
## Series: ts_gastos_casa_m 
## ARIMA(1,0,0) with non-zero mean 
## 
## Coefficients:
##          ar1      mean
##       0.3074  989.6778
## s.e.  0.1493   35.6567
## 
## sigma^2 = 28420:  log likelihood = -287.07
## AIC=580.13   AICc=580.73   BIC=585.49
paste0("Optimo pero con regresor")
## [1] "Optimo pero con regresor"
arima_optimal2 = forecast::auto.arima(ts_gastos_casa_m, xreg=as.numeric(ts_uf_serie_corrected_m[1:(length(Gastos_casa_m$gasto_total))]))
arima_optimal2
## Series: ts_gastos_casa_m 
## Regression with ARIMA(1,0,0) errors 
## 
## Coefficients:
##          ar1     xreg
##       0.3521  33.4775
## s.e.  0.1428   1.2494
## 
## sigma^2 = 26998:  log likelihood = -285.95
## AIC=577.91   AICc=578.51   BIC=583.26
forecast_uf<-
cbind.data.frame(fecha=as.Date(seq(as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)])),(as.numeric(as.Date(uf_serie_corrected$date3[length(uf_serie_corrected$date3)]))+299),by=1), origin = "1970-01-01"),forecast::forecast(fit_tbats, h=300)) %>% 
  dplyr::mutate(ano_m=stringr::str_extract(fecha,".{7}")) %>% 
  dplyr::group_by(ano_m)%>%
              dplyr::summarise(uf=(mean(`Hi 95`,na.rm=T))/1000,fecha=first(fecha))%>%
            data.frame()
autplo2t2<-
  autoplotly::autoplotly(forecast::forecast(arima_optimal2,xreg=c(forecast_uf$uf[1],forecast_uf$uf), h=12), ts.colour = "darkred",
           predict.colour = "blue", predict.linetype = "dashed")%>% 
  plotly::layout(showlegend = F, 
          yaxis = list(title = "Gastos (en miles)"),
         xaxis = list(
    title="Fecha",
      ticktext = as.list(seq_dates[seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)]), 
      tickvals = as.list(seq(from = 1, to = (dim(Gastos_casa_m)[1]+12), by = 3)),
      tickmode = "array"#"array"
    )) 

autplo2t2
fr_fit_tbats_m<-forecast::forecast(fit_tbats_m, h=12)
fr_fit_tbats_m2<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal, h=12)
fr_fit_tbats_m3<-forecast::forecast(arima_optimal2, h=12,xreg=c(forecast_uf$uf[1],forecast_uf$uf))

dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m3)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)), dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m2)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>% 
dplyr::right_join(dplyr::group_by(reshape2::melt(data.frame(fr_fit_tbats_m)),variable) %>% dplyr::summarise(max=max(value)),by="variable") %>% 
  dplyr::mutate(variable=factor(variable,levels=c("Lo.95","Lo.80","Point.Forecast","Hi.80","Hi.95"))) %>% 
  dplyr::arrange(variable) %>% 
  knitr::kable(format="markdown", caption="Estimación en miles de la plata a gastar en el futuro (de aquí a 12 meses) según cálculos de gastos mensuales",
               col.names= c("Item","Modelo ARIMA con regresor (UF)","Modelo ARIMA sin regresor","Modelo TBATS")) 
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
## No id variables; using all as measure variables
Estimación en miles de la plata a gastar en el futuro (de aquí a 12 meses) según cálculos de gastos mensuales
Item Modelo ARIMA con regresor (UF) Modelo ARIMA sin regresor Modelo TBATS
Lo.95 960.774 642.4514 752.2061
Lo.80 1079.871 762.6386 835.2950
Point.Forecast 1304.851 989.6776 1018.1159
Hi.80 1529.831 1216.7166 1240.9507
Hi.95 1648.928 1336.9038 1378.0265


4. Gastos mensuales (resumen manual)

path_sec2<- paste0("https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/",Sys.getenv("SUPERSECRET"),"/export?format=csv&id=",Sys.getenv("SUPERSECRET"),"&gid=847461368")

Gastos_casa_mensual_2022 <- readr::read_csv(as.character(path_sec2),
                #col_names = c("Tiempo", "gasto", "fecha", "obs", "monto", "gastador","link"),
                skip=0)
## Rows: 42 Columns: 4
## -- Column specification --------------------------------------------------------
## Delimiter: ","
## chr (1): mes_ano
## dbl (3): n, Andrés, Tami
## 
## i Use `spec()` to retrieve the full column specification for this data.
## i Specify the column types or set `show_col_types = FALSE` to quiet this message.
head(Gastos_casa_mensual_2022,5) %>% 
  knitr::kable("markdown",caption="Resumen mensual, primeras 5 observaciones")
Resumen mensual, primeras 5 observaciones
n mes_ano Andrés Tami
1 marzo_2019 68268 175533
2 abril_2019 55031 152640
3 mayo_2019 192219 152985
4 junio_2019 84961 291067
5 julio_2019 205893 241389


(
Gastos_casa_mensual_2022 %>% 
    reshape2::melt(id.var=c("n","mes_ano")) %>%
  dplyr::mutate(gastador=as.factor(variable)) %>% 
  dplyr::select(-variable) %>% 
 ggplot2::ggplot(aes(x = n, y = value, color=gastador)) +
  scale_color_manual(name="Gastador", values=c("red", "blue"))+
  geom_line(size=1) +
  #geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date("2019-06-24"),linetype = "dashed") +
  labs(y="Gastos (en miles)",x="Meses", subtitle="Azul= Tami; Rojo= Andrés") +
  ggtitle( "Gastos Mensuales (total manual)") +
  scale_y_continuous(labels = f <- function(x) paste0(x/1000)) + 
#  scale_color_manual(name = "Gastador", values= c("blue", "red"), labels = c("Tami", "Andrés")) +
#  scale_x_yearweek(breaks = "1 month", minor_breaks = "1 week", labels=date_format("%m/%y")) +
 # guides(color = F)+
  sjPlot::theme_sjplot2() +
  theme(axis.text.x = element_text(vjust = 0.5,angle = 35)) +
  theme(
    panel.border = element_blank(), 
    panel.grid.major = element_blank(),
    panel.grid.minor = element_blank(), 
    axis.line = element_line(colour = "black")
    )
) %>% ggplotly()


Session Info

Sys.getenv("R_LIBS_USER")
## [1] "D:\\a\\_temp\\Library"
sessionInfo()
## R version 4.1.2 (2021-11-01)
## Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit)
## Running under: Windows Server x64 (build 20348)
## 
## Matrix products: default
## 
## locale:
## [1] LC_COLLATE=Spanish_Chile.1252  LC_CTYPE=Spanish_Chile.1252   
## [3] LC_MONETARY=Spanish_Chile.1252 LC_NUMERIC=C                  
## [5] LC_TIME=Spanish_Chile.1252    
## 
## attached base packages:
## [1] grid      stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods  
## [8] base     
## 
## other attached packages:
##  [1] CausalImpact_1.2.7  bsts_0.9.8          BoomSpikeSlab_1.2.5
##  [4] Boom_0.9.10         MASS_7.3-54         scales_1.2.1       
##  [7] ggiraph_0.8.3       tidytext_0.3.4      DT_0.25            
## [10] autoplotly_0.1.4    rvest_1.0.3         plotly_4.10.0      
## [13] xts_0.12.1          forecast_8.18       wordcloud_2.6      
## [16] RColorBrewer_1.1-3  SnowballC_0.7.0     tm_0.7-8           
## [19] NLP_0.2-1           tsibble_1.1.3       forcats_0.5.2      
## [22] dplyr_1.0.10        purrr_0.3.5         tidyr_1.2.1        
## [25] tibble_3.1.8        ggplot2_3.3.6       tidyverse_1.3.2    
## [28] sjPlot_2.8.11       lattice_0.20-45     gridExtra_2.3      
## [31] plotrix_3.8-2       sparklyr_1.7.8      httr_1.4.4         
## [34] readxl_1.4.1        zoo_1.8-11          stringr_1.4.1      
## [37] stringi_1.7.8       DataExplorer_0.8.2  data.table_1.14.2  
## [40] reshape2_1.4.4      fUnitRoots_4021.80  plyr_1.8.7         
## [43] readr_2.1.3        
## 
## loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
##   [1] utf8_1.2.2          tidyselect_1.1.2    lme4_1.1-30        
##   [4] htmlwidgets_1.5.4   munsell_0.5.0       codetools_0.2-18   
##   [7] effectsize_0.8.0    its.analysis_1.6.0  withr_2.5.0        
##  [10] colorspace_2.0-3    ggfortify_0.4.14    highr_0.9          
##  [13] knitr_1.40          uuid_1.1-0          rstudioapi_0.14    
##  [16] TTR_0.24.3          labeling_0.4.2      emmeans_1.8.1-1    
##  [19] slam_0.1-50         bit64_4.0.5         farver_2.1.1       
##  [22] datawizard_0.6.2    fBasics_4021.92     rprojroot_2.0.3    
##  [25] vctrs_0.4.2         generics_0.1.3      xfun_0.33          
##  [28] R6_2.5.1            bitops_1.0-7        cachem_1.0.6       
##  [31] assertthat_0.2.1    networkD3_0.4       vroom_1.6.0        
##  [34] nnet_7.3-16         googlesheets4_1.0.1 gtable_0.3.1       
##  [37] spatial_7.3-14      timeDate_4021.106   rlang_1.0.6        
##  [40] forge_0.2.0         systemfonts_1.0.4   splines_4.1.2      
##  [43] lazyeval_0.2.2      gargle_1.2.1        selectr_0.4-2      
##  [46] broom_1.0.1         yaml_2.3.5          abind_1.4-5        
##  [49] modelr_0.1.9        crosstalk_1.2.0     backports_1.4.1    
##  [52] quantmod_0.4.20     tokenizers_0.2.3    tools_4.1.2        
##  [55] ellipsis_0.3.2      gplots_3.1.3        jquerylib_0.1.4    
##  [58] Rcpp_1.0.9          base64enc_0.1-3     fracdiff_1.5-1     
##  [61] haven_2.5.1         fs_1.5.2            magrittr_2.0.3     
##  [64] timeSeries_4021.104 lmtest_0.9-40       reprex_2.0.2       
##  [67] googledrive_2.0.0   mvtnorm_1.1-3       sjmisc_2.8.9       
##  [70] hms_1.1.2           evaluate_0.17       xtable_1.8-4       
##  [73] sjstats_0.18.1      ggeffects_1.1.3     compiler_4.1.2     
##  [76] KernSmooth_2.23-20  crayon_1.5.2        minqa_1.2.4        
##  [79] htmltools_0.5.3     tzdb_0.3.0          lubridate_1.8.0    
##  [82] DBI_1.1.3           sjlabelled_1.2.0    dbplyr_2.2.1       
##  [85] boot_1.3-28         Matrix_1.5-1        car_3.1-0          
##  [88] cli_3.4.1           quadprog_1.5-8      parallel_4.1.2     
##  [91] insight_0.18.4      igraph_1.3.5        pkgconfig_2.0.3    
##  [94] xml2_1.3.3          bslib_0.4.0         estimability_1.4.1 
##  [97] anytime_0.3.9       snakecase_0.11.0    janeaustenr_1.0.0  
## [100] digest_0.6.29       parameters_0.19.0   janitor_2.1.0      
## [103] rmarkdown_2.17      cellranger_1.1.0    curl_4.3.3         
## [106] gtools_3.9.3        urca_1.3-3          nloptr_2.0.3       
## [109] lifecycle_1.0.3     nlme_3.1-153        jsonlite_1.8.2     
## [112] tseries_0.10-51     carData_3.0-5       viridisLite_0.4.1  
## [115] fansi_1.0.3         pillar_1.8.1        fastmap_1.1.0      
## [118] glue_1.6.2          bayestestR_0.13.0   bit_4.0.4          
## [121] sass_0.4.2          performance_0.10.0  r2d3_0.2.6         
## [124] caTools_1.18.2
#save.image("__analisis.RData")

sesion_info <- devtools::session_info()
dplyr::select(
  tibble::as_tibble(sesion_info$packages),
  c(package, loadedversion, source)
) %>% 
  DT::datatable(filter = 'top', colnames = c('Row number' =1,'Variable' = 2, 'Percentage'= 3),
              caption = htmltools::tags$caption(
        style = 'caption-side: top; text-align: left;',
        '', htmltools::em('Packages')),
      options=list(
initComplete = htmlwidgets::JS(
        "function(settings, json) {",
        "$(this.api().tables().body()).css({
            'font-family': 'Helvetica Neue',
            'font-size': '50%', 
            'code-inline-font-size': '15%', 
            'white-space': 'nowrap',
            'line-height': '0.75em',
            'min-height': '0.5em'
            });",#;
        "}")))